The Tide May Be Shifting for Copper as it Crosses Above Its 20 Day Moving Average

The Hourly View for Copper

  • At the time of this writing, HG1’s price is up $0 (0.02%) from the hour prior.
  • It’s been a feast for bulls operating on an hourly timeframe, as Copper has now gone up 4 of the past 5 hours.
  • If you’re a trend trader, consider that the strongest clear trend on the hourly chart exists on the 50 hour timeframe.
  • Price action traders may also wish to note that we see a pin bar candlestick pattern on Copper. Given that we see an uptrend on the 10 hourly candle timeframe, and that such candlestick patterns often denote reversals, this may be worth noting.
  • The moving averages on the hourly timeframe suggest a choppiness in price, as the 20, 50, 100 and 200 are all in a mixed alignment — meaning the trend across timeframes is inconsistent, indicating a potential opportunity for rangebound traders.

The Daily View for Copper

  • At the moment, HG1’s price is down $-0.05 (-1.31%) from the day prior.
  • This move is a reversal from the day prior, which saw price move up.
  • As for the trend on the daily timeframe, we see the clearest trend on the 100 day timeframe.
  • Most noteworthy in the world of moving averages on the daily chart is that the 20 day moving average has been crossed, with price now being below it. The moving averages on the daily timeframe suggest a bullishness in price, as the 20, 50, 100 and 200 are all in a bullish alignment — meaning the shorter durations are above the longer duration averages, implying a sound upward trend.

Below is a daily price chart of Copper.

HG1

Featured Copper Idea From TradingView

Below is a trading comment entitled 7 MOST IMPORTANT CHARTS TO WATCH RIGHT NOW you may find interesting:

1. VIX is filling the gap from when the Feb-Mar crash begun. Volatility is getting supressed when things actually look very fragile with Central Banks having nothing under control. A VIX spike (big move down for stocks) wouldn’t be a surprise here for reasons I’ll explain soon.2. DXY looking strong here. The 50 DMA has turned up and dollar strength could be a problem here. Watching other charts tells me things are OK, so the weakness comes from specific currencies. Some currencies are doing very well while others very poorly and there is no concrete way to go about it.3. CNH/CNY however are very clear as to what is going on. They seem to be in agreement with the DXY. The relentless USD downtrend has been broken and the USD is showing signs of life. Despite the QE, despite the massive stimulus… the USD hasn’t gone down. That’s not a great sign. Sure most currencies are getting devalued, but if the USD is so strong and could begin an uptrend we have a problem…4. Essentially most of that is attributed to US long term rates going up faster than anywhere else. This could be happening for many reasons, right or wrong. Inflation might be here, inflation might be coming… but it depends on which country you are looking at and in what form you are seeing it. Is it because of supply shocks (i.e low Oil and Copper production), currency debasement, loss of faith in the currency or trade wars etc? It could be many combined, but when we see bonds go down it could the fact that we have a lot of supply coming in and not enough demand. Maybe we had such a big bull market that people are taking profit. However the impact this has on the market is on many different levels and it comes down to h…

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