USD/TRY Up 358 Pips in Last 4 Hours, Moves Down For the 2nd Day In A Row; in an Uptrend Over Past 90 Days
Compared to its peers in the forex, usd/try gave its buyers a return that ranked 38th in terms of percentage change since yesterday.
(Last Updated April 15, 2021)
Hello! This is the news page for USDTRY. Below you’ll find our daily market updates. Here’s a technical and fundamental summary of where things currently stand:
metric_name | reference_period | asset_name | asset_id | date | time | forecast | outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Turkey TCMB Interest Rate Decision | 2021 | Turkish Lira | TRY | 2021-04-15 | 11:00 GMT | 19% | 19% |
United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | Apr 2021 | US Dollar | USD | 2021-04-15 | 12:30 GMT | 42 | 50.2 |
United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | Apr 2021 | US Dollar | USD | 2021-04-15 | 12:30 GMT | 19.5 | 26.3 |
United States Retail Sales MoM | Mar 2021 | US Dollar | USD | 2021-04-15 | 12:30 GMT | 5.9% | 9.8% |
United States Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | Mar 2021 | US Dollar | USD | 2021-04-15 | 12:30 GMT | 5% | 8.4% |
A trend/countertrend situation exists on USDTRY, in which a downtrend exists on shorter timeframes but an uptrend appears on the 90 and 30 day timeframes. The countertrend on the shorter timeframe may provide an opportunity to buy for those interested in playing the longer term trend.
The moving averages on USDTRY indicate a trend that is clearly bullish.
The chart below illustrates.
In terms of correlations over the past week for USDTRY, it has been most correlated with USDZAR. USDZAR is the asset with which USDTRY has been most correlated with over the past two weeks as well, so this may be a structural correlation in the market. On the flip side, GBPNZD has been the asset least correlated with USDTRY — but if we observe the prior two weeks, the asset least correlated with USDTRY has been EURCHF. See the chart below to observe the recent price action in USDTRY versus those of assets it hasn’t been well correlated with.
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At the time of this writing, USDTRY’s rate is down -8.52 pips (-1.04%) from the week prior. Moreover, note that this is the 2nd week in a row USDTRY has seen its price head down. Regarding the trend, note that the strongest trend exists on the 10 week timeframe. Looking further out, the moving averages on the weekly timeframe suggest a choppiness in price, as the are all in a mixed alignment — meaning the trend across timeframes is inconsistent, indicating a potential opportunity for rangebound traders. The weekly chart below shows USDTRY’s price action over the past year.
Clearest trend on the monthly is apparent at the 120 month timeframe.
Compared to its peers in the forex, usd/try gave its buyers a return that ranked 38th in terms of percentage change since yesterday.
Relative to other instruments in the forex asset class, usd/try ranked 38th yesterday in terms of percentage price change.
As for the rationale, technical traders seem to be citing the appearance of a trendline technical pattern.
Trend traders will want to observe that the strongest trend appears on the 90 day horizon; over that time period, price has been moving up.
This imputes a buy/sell ratio of 1, which is neutral.
Or to simplify this another way, note that out of the past 10 days usd/try’s price has gone up 5 them.
As for the rationale, technical traders seem to be citing the appearance of divergence and relative strength index technical patterns.
Compared to its peers in the forex, usd/try gave its buyers a return that ranked 23rd in terms of percentage change since yesterday.
This imputes a buy/sell ratio of 0.17, which is quite bearish.
This imputes a buy/sell ratio of 5, which is very bullish.