USD/JPY Down 56 Pips; in an Uptrend Over Past 30 Days
As for the rationale, technical traders seem to be citing the appearance of a channel technical pattern.
(Last Updated March 4, 2021)
Hello! This is the news page for USDJPY. Below you’ll find our daily market updates. Here’s a technical and fundamental summary of where things currently stand:
metric_name | reference_period | asset_name | asset_id | date | time | forecast | outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United States Continuing Jobless Claims | 20/Feb 2021 | US Dollar | USD | 2021-03-04 | 13:30 GMT | 4300K | |
United States Jobless Claims 4-week Average | Feb/27 2021 | US Dollar | USD | 2021-03-04 | 13:30 GMT | ||
United States Initial Jobless Claims | 27/Feb 2021 | US Dollar | USD | 2021-03-04 | 13:30 GMT | 750K | |
United States Unit Labour Costs QoQ Final | Q4 2020 | US Dollar | USD | 2021-03-04 | 13:30 GMT | 6.6% | |
United States Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Final | Q4 2020 | US Dollar | USD | 2021-03-04 | 13:30 GMT | -4.7% |
If we observe the 90, 30 and 14 day timeframes, we see an uptrend in place for USDJPY.
The moving averages on USDJPY summarize its price action in an interesting way. Out of the moving averages we’re monitoring (20, 50, 100, and 200 days), all but the 200 are bullish, suggesting the trend is generally upward, aside from a fall about 6 months prior.
Below is a chart showing USDJPY’s price with its moving averages.
Regarding USDJPY’s correlations over the past 7 days, it has been most correlated with NZDCAD. If we zoom out to a two week basis, though, USDSEK is the asset most correlated to USDJPY. Alternatively, GBPCHF has been the asset least correlated with USDJPY — but over the past two weeks, the asset least correlated with USDJPY has been AUDJPY. See the chart below to observe the recent price action in USDJPY versus those of assets it hasn’t been well correlated with.
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At the time of this writing, USDJPY’s rate is up 5120 pips (0.48%) from the week prior. It’s been a feast for bulls operating on the weekly timeframe, as USDJPY has now gone up 4 of the past 5 weeks. As for the trend on the weekly timeframe, we see the clearest trend on the 20 week timeframe. Looking further out, the moving averages on the weekly timeframe suggest a choppiness in price, as the are all in a mixed alignment — meaning the trend across timeframes is inconsistent, indicating a potential opportunity for rangebound traders. USDJPY’s weekly price action over the past 52 weeks can be seen via the chart below.
Monthly trend: strongest on the 120 month timeframe.
As for the rationale, technical traders seem to be citing the appearance of a channel technical pattern.
This recent bullish impulsive move has pushed into the weekly resistance zones with the wick piercing it….
As for the rationale, technical traders seem to be citing the appearance of a relative strength index technical pattern.
For additional context, note that price has gone up 16 out of the past 30 days.
Price is consolidating right now, so, if this consolidation is broken down, then the move will be confirmed….
This imputes a buy/sell ratio of 0.58, which is bearish.
Trend traders will want to observe that the strongest trend appears on the 14 day horizon; over that time period, price has been moving up.
Out of the 40 instruments in the forex asset class, usd/jpy ended up ranking 23rd for the day in terms of day-over-day price change.
For additional context, note that price has gone up 6 out of the past 10 days.