EUR/USD Down 19 Pips; in a Downtrend Over Past 14 Days
Out of the 40 instruments in the forex asset class, eur/usd ended up ranking 29th for the day in terms of day-over-day price change.
(Last Updated January 18, 2021)
Welcome to the news page for EURUSD (EURUSD). Below you’ll find our daily market updates. Here’s a technical and fundamental summary of where things currently stand:
metric_name | reference_period | asset_name | asset_id | date | time | forecast | outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Euro Area Eurogroup Video Conference | NA | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-18 | 08:00 GMT | ||
Euro Area ECB President Lagarde Speech | NA | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-18 | 08:00 GMT | ||
European Union New Car Registrations YoY | Dec 2020 | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-19 | 07:00 GMT | ||
Euro Area Construction Output YoY | Nov 2020 | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-19 | 10:00 GMT | ||
Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | Jan 2021 | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-19 | 10:00 GMT |
As for trends on EURUSD, we’re seeing a downtrend on shorter timeframes — but an uptrend on the 90 and 30 day timeframes. As such, traders with short positions should be aware of the uptrend in place on the longer timeframes.
The moving averages on EURUSD summarize its price action in an interesting way. Out of the moving averages we’re monitoring (20, 50, 100, and 200 days), all but the 20 are bullish, implying a upward trend, aside from a decline about 3 weeks prior. Moreover, it should also be noted that the 20 SMA just turned bearish today.
The chart below illustrates.
Regarding EURUSD’s correlations over the past 7 days, it has been most correlated with USDSEK. EURUSD has been most correlated with USDSEK over the past 14 days also, so this may be a structural correlation in the market. Alternatively, the asset least correlated with EURUSD over the past week has been ZARJPY, but if we observe the prior two weeks, the asset least correlated with EURUSD has been NZDCHF. The chart below illustrates EURUSD against its least correlated assets.
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At the moment, EURUSD’s rate is down -144 pips (-1.18%) from the week prior. Moreover, note that this is a reversal of the price action on the previous week, in which price moved up. As for the trend on the weekly timeframe, we see the clearest trend on the 20 week timeframe. Looking further out, the moving averages on the weekly timeframe suggest a choppiness in price, as the are all in a mixed alignment — meaning the trend across timeframes is inconsistent, indicating a potential opportunity for rangebound traders. The weekly chart below shows EURUSD’s price action over the past year.
Strongest trend on the 120 month timeframe.
Out of the 40 instruments in the forex asset class, eur/usd ended up ranking 29th for the day in terms of day-over-day price change.
The closest is the 20 day average, which is 150.6 pips away.
The closest is the 20 day average, which is 176.9 pips away.
As for the alignment of the moving averages, well, it’s a bit mixed up; the 20, 50, 100, and 200 do not progress from largest to smallest, or vice versa.
As for the rationale, technical traders seem to be citing the appearance of a channel technical pattern.
As for the alignment of the moving averages, well, it’s a bit mixed up; the 20, 50, 100, and 200 do not progress from largest to smallest, or vice versa.
The clearest trend exists on the 14 day timeframe, which shows price moving down over that time.
Modest buying occurred from 1.0879/1.0906 tuesday, recently forming a robust bullish candle that closed a whisker off its highs….
As for the alignment of the moving averages, well, it’s a bit mixed up; the 20, 50, 100, and 200 do not progress from largest to smallest, or vice versa.