EUR/GBP Up 130 Pips, in an Uptrend Over Past 14 Days; Nears 200 Day Moving Average
Trend traders will want to observe that the strongest trend appears on the 14 day horizon; over that time period, price has been moving up.
(Last Updated January 18, 2021)
Hello! This is the news page for EURGBP. Below you’ll find our daily market updates. Here’s a technical and fundamental summary of where things currently stand:
metric_name | reference_period | asset_name | asset_id | date | time | forecast | outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Euro Area Eurogroup Video Conference | NA | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-18 | 08:00 GMT | ||
Euro Area ECB President Lagarde Speech | NA | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-18 | 08:00 GMT | ||
European Union New Car Registrations YoY | Dec 2020 | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-19 | 07:00 GMT | ||
Euro Area Construction Output YoY | Nov 2020 | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-19 | 10:00 GMT | ||
Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | Jan 2021 | Euro | EUR | 2021-01-19 | 10:00 GMT |
On EURGBP, there is currently a downtrend on the 90, 30 and 14 day timeframes.
Nuances in the trend on EURGBP can be understood by observing the behavior of its moving averages. Out of the moving averages we’re monitoring (20, 50, 100, and 200 days), all but the 200 are bearish, implying a downward trend, aside from a jump about 6 months prior.
Below is a chart showing EURGBP’s price with its moving averages.
In terms of correlations over the past week for EURGBP, it has been most correlated with GBPCHF. GBPCHF is the asset with which EURGBP has been most correlated with over the past two weeks as well, so this may be a structural correlation in the market. On the flip side, USDCNH has been the asset least correlated with EURGBP — but over the past two weeks, GBPAUD has been the asset least correlated with EURGBP. See the chart below to observe the recent price action in EURGBP versus those of assets it hasn’t been well correlated with.
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Currently, EURGBP’s rate is down -129 pips (-1.44%) from the week prior. EURGBP has seen its price go down 4 out of the past 5 weeks, thus creating some compelling opportunities for bears. From a weekly perspective, the market looks fairly choppy; clear trends aren’t showing up on the 5, 10 and 20 week timeframes. Looking further out, the moving averages on the weekly timeframe suggest a choppiness in price, as the are all in a mixed alignment — meaning the trend across timeframes is inconsistent, indicating a potential opportunity for rangebound traders. EURGBP’s weekly price action over the past 52 weeks can be seen via the chart below.
Clearest trend on the monthly is apparent at the 60 month timeframe.
Trend traders will want to observe that the strongest trend appears on the 14 day horizon; over that time period, price has been moving up.
Trend traders will want to observe that the strongest trend appears on the 14 day horizon; over that time period, price has been moving up.
The price move occurred on stronger volume, as measured by the number of tick price changes; specifically, yesterday’s volume was up 22.97% from the day prior, and up 90.4% from the same day the week before.
Relative to other instruments in the forex asset class, eur/gbp ranked 3rd yesterday in terms of percentage price change.
The price move occurred on volume — and we’re using the number of tick price changes as a proxy for volume — that was down 2.94% from the day prior, but up 52.53% from the same day the week before.
Volatility for eur/gbp has exploded over the past two weeks relative to the past 30 days, which technical traders will want to note.
Volatility for eur/gbp has exploded over the past two weeks relative to the past 30 days, which technical traders will want to note.
Trend traders will want to observe that the strongest trend appears on the 14 day horizon; over that time period, price has been moving down.
This imputes a buy/sell ratio of 2.89, which is bullish.
On a relative basis, eur/gbp was the worst performer out of all 40 of the assets in the forex asset class.