GBPNZD Up 27 Pips Over Past Hour, 2 Day Up Streak Snapped; Crosses 200 Day Moving Average

Currently, GBPNZD’s rate is up 27 pips (0.14%) from the hour prior. GBPNZD has seen its price go up 4 out of the past 5 hours, thus creating some compelling opportunities for bulls. Regarding the trend, note that the strongest trend exists on the 20 hour timeframe. The moving averages on the hourly timeframe suggest a bullishness in price, as the 20, 50, 100 and 200 are all in a bullish alignment — meaning the shorter durations are above the longer duration averages, implying a sound upward trend.

GBPNZD End of Day Recap

Updated 00:30 GMT (04:30 EST)

The choppiness in the recent daily price action of GBPNZD continues; to start today, it came in at a price of 1.99472, down NA pips (0.66%) since the day prior. Compared to its peers in the Forex, GBPNZD gave its buyers a return that ranked 37th in terms of percentage change since the day prior. Let’s take a look at price chart of GBPNZD.

GBPNZD

GBPNZD Technical Analysis

Moving average crossovers are always interesting, so let’s start there: GBPNZD crossed below its 200 day moving average yesterday. As for the alignment of the moving averages, well, it’s a bit mixed up; the 20, 50, 100, and 200 do not progress from largest to smallest, or vice versa. The closest is the 200 day average, which is 21.6 pips away. Volatility for GBPNZD has been contracting over the past two weeks relative to volatility over the past month. Whether volatility reverts will be something to watch. The clearest trend exists on the 30 day timeframe, which shows price moving up over that time. It should be noted, though, that a trend in the opposite direction, going down, exists on the 90 day timeframe. Or to simplify this another way, note that out of the past 30 days GBPNZD’s price has gone up 20 them.

The View From Around the Web

Of note is that traders in aggregate have opinions on GBPNZD, with 10 buy signals on our radar and 7 sell signals. This imputes a buy/sell ratio of 1.43, which is bullish. As for the rationale, technical traders seem to be citing the appearance of demand zone and fibonacci technical patterns. Here’s a piece we found on tradingview.com; below is a short snippet from it to give you a taste.

I am not taking this trade in real life, and I have not back-tested this particular strategy on this currency pair, so I really don’t know how this type of trading strategy will work on this currency pair….Don’t trade a strategy just because someone tells you it’s a good strategy, always back-test the strategy in question over historical data before trading it with real money….Trading a strategy that has not been back-tested is the equivalence of gambling your money away, or trying to shoot a target when its pitch-black outside.


Forex Frank is a forex analyst and market commentator with nearly two decades of experience in currency trading. Follow him on social media: Facebook | Twitter | Instagram