USD/CAD Up 22 Pips, Crosses 20 Day Moving Average; in an Uptrend Over Past 14 Days
Out of the 40 instruments in the forex asset class, usd/cad ended up ranking 6th for the day in terms of day-over-day price change.
(Last Updated January 27, 2021 3:24 GMT)
Here’s a look at the main macroeconomic data coming out later today that may impact the forex market.
Metric Name | Reference Period | Currency | Date | Time | Forecast | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Japan Retail Sales YoY | Dec 2020 | Japanese Yen | 2021-01-27 | 23:50 GMT | -0.4% | |
United States Durable Goods Orders MoM | Dec 2020 | US Dollar | 2021-01-27 | 13:30 GMT | 0.9% |
The chart below summarizes the price news by currency, showing which currency strengthened vs which weakened when equally averaged against other currencies. We see that ZAR was the big outperformer, changing by 1.07%. On the flip side, USD fared the worst, changing by -0.32%.
Currency Pair | Moving Average Period Crossed |
---|---|
EURCAD | 200 |
EURUSD | 50 |
AUDUSD | 20 |
EURNOK | 20 |
EURSEK | 20 |
USDCAD | 20 |
From the perspective of the alignment of moving averages — meaning where moving averages are ordered by their duration — we see that USDMXN has perhaps the strongest trend. See the chart below.
Finally, instruments in the Forex asset class that are near their 200 day moving average are EURCHF, USDHKD, AUDNZD and EURCAD.
Out of the 40 instruments in the forex asset class, usd/cad ended up ranking 6th for the day in terms of day-over-day price change.
The clearest trend exists on the 90 day timeframe, which shows price moving down over that time.
As for the alignment of the moving averages, well, it’s a bit mixed up; the 20, 50, 100, and 200 do not progress from largest to smallest, or vice versa.
Trend traders will want to observe that the strongest trend appears on the 90 day horizon; over that time period, price has been moving down.
As for the rationale, technical traders seem to be citing the appearance of divergence and wedge technical patterns.
Interestingly, a trend in the other direction exists on the 90 day timeframe, where price is headed up.
The price move occurred on volume — and we’re using the number of tick price changes as a proxy for volume — that was up 13.43% from the day prior, but down 12.46% from the same day the week before.
As for the alignment of the moving averages, well, it’s a bit mixed up; the 20, 50, 100, and 200 do not progress from largest to smallest, or vice versa.
Volatility for eur/try has exploded over the past two weeks relative to the past 30 days, which technical traders will want to note.
The closest is the 20 day average, which is 14.9 pips away.