(Last Updated January 27, 2021 2:24 GMT)
Here’s a look at the main macroeconomic data coming out later today that may impact the forex market.
| Metric Name | Reference Period | Currency | Date | Time | Forecast | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Retail Sales YoY | Dec 2020 | Japanese Yen | 2021-01-27 | 23:50 GMT | -0.4% | |
| United States Durable Goods Orders MoM | Dec 2020 | US Dollar | 2021-01-27 | 13:30 GMT | 0.9% |
The chart below summarizes the price news by currency, showing which currency strengthened vs which weakened when equally averaged against other currencies. We see that ZAR was the big outperformer, moving by 1.07%. On the flip side, USD fared the worst, moving by -0.32%.
| Currency Pair | Moving Average Period Crossed |
|---|---|
| EURCAD | 200 |
| EURUSD | 50 |
| AUDUSD | 20 |
| EURNOK | 20 |
| EURSEK | 20 |
| USDCAD | 20 |
From the perspective of the alignment of moving averages — meaning where moving averages are ordered by their duration — we see that USDMXN has perhaps the strongest trend. See the chart below.
Lastly, instruments in the Forex asset class that are near their 200 day moving average are EURCHF, USDHKD, AUDNZD and EURCAD.
The price move occurred on volume — and we’re using the number of tick price changes as a proxy for volume — that was up 8.69% from the day prior, but down 41% from the same day the week before.
This imputes a buy/sell ratio of 0.25, which is bearish.
As for the alignment of the moving averages, well, it’s a bit mixed up; the 20, 50, 100, and 200 do not progress from largest to smallest, or vice versa.
Volatility for eur/nok has exploded over the past two weeks relative to the past 30 days, which technical traders will want to note.
This imputes a buy/sell ratio of 0, which is quite bearish.
The clearest trend exists on the 30 day timeframe, which shows price moving down over that time.
Relative to other instruments in the forex asset class, gbp/nzd ranked 20th yesterday in terms of percentage price change.
Out of the 40 instruments in the forex asset class, usd/cnh ended up ranking 19th for the day in terms of day-over-day price change.
It should be noted, though, that a trend in the opposite direction, going down, exists on the 90 day timeframe.
Interestingly, a trend in the other direction exists on the 90 day timeframe, where price is headed up.