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Forex News

(Last Updated May 19, 2022 0:25 GMT)

Today’s Main Forex Events

Here’s a look at the main macroeconomic data coming out later today that may impact the forex market.

Metric Name Reference Period Currency Date Time Forecast Outcome
Australia Unemployment Rate Apr 2022 Australian Dollar 2022-05-19 01:30 GMT 3.9%
Euro Area Construction Output YoY Mar 2022 Euro 2022-05-19 09:00 GMT
United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence May 2022 British Pound 2022-05-19 23:01 GMT -39
Japan Inflation Rate YoY Apr 2022 Japanese Yen 2022-05-19 23:30 GMT
New Zealand Balance of Trade Apr 2022 New Zealand Dollar 2022-05-19 22:45 GMT
United States Existing Home Sales Apr 2022 US Dollar 2022-05-19 14:00 GMT 5.65M
South Africa Interest Rate Decision 2022 South African Rand 2022-05-19 13:00 GMT 4.75%

FX Market Hourly Update

Over the past hour, EURTRY has been an especially big mover in the forex market, rallying 451 pips (0.27%). Intraday trend traders may wish to note that EURJPY has the strongest trend on the hourly timeframe over the last 20 price bars. Finally, intraday traders may wish to take note of the fact that EURTRY just breached its 20 hour moving average.

Price Action on the Daily Chart

The pairs that made the biggest moves, on a percentage basis, over the past day were EURTRY, ZARJPY, and USDTRY. The chart below illustrates. Note that EURTRY and GBPCHF made especially large and surprising moves over the past day.


The chart below summarizes the price news by currency, showing which currency strengthened vs which weakened when equally averaged against other currencies. We see that ZAR was the big outperformer, changing by 1.81%. On the flip side, TRY fared the worst, changing by -2.16%.


And in terms of interesting streaks, EURTRY, USDTRY and GBPCHF have now rallied 8 out of the past ten trading days.


Forex Trend News

Over the past two weeks, the strongest trend has been on EURNOK. Alternatively, on a 90 day basis, the strongest trend appears on USDHKD. Interestingly, a countertrend appears on the 14 day relative to the 90 day timeframe appears for CHFJPY, NZDJPY, GBPJPY, GBPNZD, AUDJPY, EURJPY and USDJPY. Trading against the 14 day trend in favor of the 90 day trend may be an opportunity some traders would favor on these pairs. Price action traders will also want to note that a base appears to be forming on EURCAD. Price bases often precede increases in volatility and a clear trend.

Moving Averages in the Forex World

Below is a list of currency pairs that crossed key moving average levels over the past day.

Currency Pair Moving Average Period Crossed
GBPNZD 200
GBPJPY 50
EURJPY 50
CADJPY 20
USDJPY 20
NZDCHF 20
EURGBP 20
USDCAD 20

From the perspective of the alignment of moving averages — meaning where moving averages are ordered by their duration — we see that USDTRY has perhaps the strongest trend. See the chart below.



One other point on moving averages: instruments in the Forex asset class that are near their 200 day moving average are GBPCHF, GBPNZD, EURCHF, EURNZD and EURGBP.

News from the BIS

The Bank of International Settlements helps central banks coordinate their policies. As such, it can be an important institution for forex traders to monitor. Here is the latest from them:

Link Publication Date Summary
Commodity market disruptions, growth and inflation 2022-05-18 The BIS hosts nine international organisations engaged in standard setting and the pursuit of financial stability through the Basel Process.
Banking in the shadow of Bitcoin? The institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies 2022-05-18 This “shadow crypto financial system” serves both retail and institutional clients, such as dedicated investment funds.While the role of retail investors has received much attention, we know less about the role of financial intermediaries in this sector.
Christine Lagarde: Challenges along Europe’s road 2022-05-15 Speech by Ms Christine Lagarde , President of the European Central Bank, at the international conference to mark the 30th anniversary of Banka Slovenije, Ljubljana, 11 May 2022

It is a pleasure to be in Ljubljana today to discuss “the road already travelled and contemporary challenges”.In that period, Europe has faced repeated shocks, each one different.



Forex Market Insights from TradingView

Regarding the forex pairs getting the most technical talk on TradingView, EURCHF may be one to watch. Here’s a remark from one currency trader that we thought was especially worth sharing:

When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like right or wrong or win or lose no longer have the same significance.
–EURCHF



Looking for More Forex News?

For more forex news beyond what is offered on CFDTrading, check out Forex Factory, FX Empire, and ForexLive. For the latest stories on specific currency pairs, try the articles below.

NZD/USD Down 10 Pips in Last Hour, 3 Day Up Streak Snapped; in a Downtrend Over Past 30 Days

Categories Forex News Tags NZDUSD
May 19, 2022

Trend traders will want to observe that the strongest trend appears on the 30 day horizon; over that time period, price has been moving down.

NZD/CHF Down 15 Pips in Last Hour, Makes Big Move Relative to Past Month; Crosses 20 and 100 Day Moving Averages

Categories Forex News Tags NZDCHF
May 19, 2022

It’s been a feast for bears operating on an hourly timeframe, as nzdchf has now gone down 12 of the past 14 hours.

NZD/JPY Down 33 Pips On Hourly Chart, Social Sentiment Biased Towards Selling; Eyes 100 Day Average

Categories Forex News Tags NZDJPY
May 19, 2022

This imputes a buy/sell ratio of 0, which is quite bearish.

NZD/CAD Down 2 Pips On Hourly Chart; in a Downtrend Over Past 14 Days

Categories Forex News Tags NZDCAD
May 19, 2022

Relative to other instruments in the forex asset class, nzdcad ranked 19th the previous day in terms of percentage price change.

GBP/USD Down 6 Pips On Hourly Chart, 3 Day Up Streak Snapped; Pin Bar Pattern Appearing on Chart

Categories Forex News Tags GBPUSD
May 19, 2022

Volatility for gbpusd has been contracting over the past two weeks relative to volatility over the past month.

GBP/JPY Down 48 Pips On Hourly Chart, Underperforms All Forex; 3 Day Up Streak Snapped

Categories Forex News Tags GBPJPY
May 19, 2022

As for the rationale, technical traders seem to be citing the appearance of head and shoulders technical patterns.

GBP/NZD Up 20 Pips Over Past Hour, 2 Day Up Streak Broken; Pin Bar Pattern Appearing on Chart

Categories Forex News Tags GBPNZD
May 19, 2022

The clearest trend exists on the 90 day timeframe, which shows price moving down over that time.

GBP/CHF Down 17 Pips On Hourly Chart, Makes Big Move Relative to Past Two Months; 4 Day Up Streak Ended

Categories Forex News Tags GBPCHF
May 19, 2022

And for candlestick traders, a special treat: there is a pin bar pattern showing up on the charts as well.

GBP/CAD Up 12 Pips On Hourly Chart, 2 Day Up Streak Ended; in a Downtrend Over Past 90 Days

Categories Forex News Tags GBPCAD
May 19, 2022

If you’re a trend trader, consider that the strongest clear trend on the hourly chart exists on the 100 hour timeframe.

EUR/USD Down 0 Pips in Last Hour, 3 Day Up Streak Snapped; in a Downtrend Over Past 90 Days

Categories Forex News Tags EURUSD
May 19, 2022

It’s been a feast for bears operating on an hourly timeframe, as eurusd has now gone down 8 of the past 10 hours.

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