November 2011

German Retail Sales Rose in October but Fell on the Year

Retail sales in Germany rose mildly in October as Europe’s heavyweight struggles with weak growth and fallback from poorer European nations…

Risk Correlated Assets At Risk in Wednesday Trade

The rally in risk over the past few sessions seems to have finally stalled out and we attribute the price action to nothing more than corrective relief…

Dollar, Risk Trends Sensitive to Speculation of a ‘Grand Bailout’

There was a notable swing in speculative sentiment through the previous session; but the influence it would have over the different asset classes was mixed. This disparity is more appropriately attributed to restraint in the underlying fundamental theme rather than a permanent divergence of correlations.

S&P 500 Threatens Reversal, AUDUSD and EURUSD React Differently

Underlying risk appetite trends are still the key to larger trends and swells in volatility; but speculation does not fully agree with fundamental reality. Despite downgrades, stress in funding markets, inconsistency in rescue efforts and slowing growth; market participants have yet to capitulate.

US Dollar May Bounce at Key Support as S&P 500 Chart Hints at Losses

The safe-haven US Dollar is testing critical technical support, with a bounce higher hinted as S&P 500 positioning cautiously points to a bearish reversal.

US Dollar May Bounce at Key Support as S&P 500 Chart Hints at Losses

The safe-haven US Dollar is testing critical technical support, with a bounce higher hinted as S&P 500 positioning cautiously points to a bearish reversal.

Australia Bank Lending Grows as EU Meeting Pushes Aussie Higher

RBA data on private-sector credit was broadly in line with expectations. However, positive market sentiment after the first day of the Eurogroup finance ministers’ meeting continued to push the Aussie higher.

Yen Pressured by Subdued Risk Aversion Despite Production Data

Stronger-than-expected industrial production data contributed to a very mixed picture of Japan’s economic environment. Meanwhile, market confidence after Tuesday’s Eurogroup meeting continued to pressure the Yen.

Trading Setups in Today’s Uncertain Environment

'Risk' has rallied significantly from last week's lows. The only question that matters is, 'is this the beginning of an uptrend or a correction in a downtrend?'

A Basic Trend Trading Strategy

Uptrend: Buy at Support or a Break of Resistance. Downtrend: Sell at a Break of Support or at Resistance.

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